Originally Published MX May/June 2002
BUSINESS PLANNING & TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT
Filling the Product PipelineSix industry leaders reveal their strategies for product development in a suboptimal economy.
Moderated by Steve Halasey
Company
leaders work hard to create award-winning products such as those described in
the previous pages, but keeping the pipeline filled with products to be launched
in the future can be even more daunting. To find out how companies manage this
task, MX interviewed six industry executives with experience in developing
complex product lines.
Excerpts from the interviews appear here; the complete
text is also available.
MX: What
conditions in the general economy are helping or hindering companies that are
developing new medical products right now? Sidebar:
Norbert G. Riedel, PhD: Key conditions include the aging population,
an increase in the affordability of healthcare, and innovation that makes possible
truly differentiated products and thus improved quality of life. These are all
positive forces for industry as a whole.
Roundtable Participants
Stephen N. Oesterle, MD: Companies like Medtronic are buffered from economic turns in the wrong direction because people are going to be sick, no matter what the value of the dollar or the valuation of the stock market. So in times of economic downturn, medical product companies look like relatively safe havens.
John P. Wareham:
A large piece of the healthcare industry moves with government support. Generally
speaking, in the in vito diagnostics sector of the healthcare market, where
Beckman Coulter competes, that support is now relatively stable.
In the late 1990s and into the early 2000s, our industry went through some difficult
changes around the world, especially in the United States, Germany, and Italy.
Today the reimbursement side of the IVD business is fairly stable, and part
of that is due to the fact that hospitals are also in a better financial position.
All in all, the environment is pretty favorable.
Kshitij Mohan, PhD: For established medium and large companies, while there is some belt-tightening, a declining economy also presents an opportunity. That is manifested in a stronger flow of talent from the unstable part of the industry to the more stable part; in large companies being able to buy up small companies for considerably less than what has already been invested; and in terms of lower prices to license the results of others' R&D.
Oesterle: I'm not sure I agree with that. The bargain companies are generally at a very early stage of product development. If we were to purchase such a company, when it has timelines that are three or four years out from product launch, it would actually represent a drag on our earnings. And in this economy, large companies are reluctant to take on such dilutional acquisitions.
Ajit S. Gill:
The larger companies have ongoing development programs. And development cycles
being what they are, it's not like you can start a development this year
and expect to see the fruits of your labor real soon. So, the larger companies
have their long-term development programs under way already, but because of
earnings pressures some of them are probably cutting back.
In many cases, the earnings pressures are probably driven less by the economy
than by pending patent expiration, causing revenues to tail off more steeply
than had been expected. Those companies are dealing with that in sort of a typical
way: programs on the margin get eliminated or trimmed in some fashion.
At the other end, smaller companies are feeling the pinch. They don't have
cash. There's also a different type of squeeze on certain mid-cap companies
that have become profitable. If their initial products weren't blockbusters,
they're wondering how they can stay profitable and keep investing enough
in product development. They're finding a completely different type of
challenge that is squeezing their ability to do product development.
Investor Pressures
There is significant investor pressure to be profitable and pay dividends.
On the other hand, the product pipeline has to stay full or the company will
wither and die. How does an executive deal with that dilemma?
Gill: If I were in a company that was being squeezed, I'd be looking
to transfer some of my current costs into future costs by licensing in technologies.
The company would pay for that strategy in the form of royalties, but royalties
are a future cost that comes out of earnings.
In the device
industry, it's often said that small companies provide a lot of innovation
that large companies depend on. Does a soft economy such as we have right now
harm that product development pipeline?
Wareham: The model for this is dynamic, and it goes through phases. The
companies at the small end of the scale were very well funded in 1999 and 2000,
so those that were unable to turn innovation into marketplace technology or
a new project are just now starting to run out of cash. The greater challenge
is with companies that can't get the venture capital to move forward with
their innovations.
Mohan: I'm not too alarmed that this might turn investors away from biotech. Ever since the dot-com bubble burst, our industry has presented an even better-looking opportunity for investors. In the short term there may be some tightening up that would represent a good time for large companies to acquire small companies. But in the intermediate or long term, money's going to return to the device and biotech areas.
What about the
funding of projects in the device industry? Are those decisions made on a long-term
basis, or are they reviewed annually? How do you decide how much funding to
put into a project and when to put it in?
Oesterle: For the most part, our projects are funded against the completion
of development milestones. So naturally, we are bound by fiscal concerns, but
we are generally able to fund projects to the next development milestone and
redefine in advance the performance criteria we expect. If a project we're developing
does not appear to meet our performance expectations at a particular milestone,
that would be a reason to terminate the project.
One of the most difficult decisions in medical technology is the decision of
what not to do, or when to stop a particular project. We review our minority
investment portfolio every month, and we always question whether it makes sense
for Medtronic to be involved. And if we determine that a company's direction
is not consistent with our stated mission, we'll trade out of it if we can.
Pipeline Strategies
For the companies that are feeling the pinch of current conditions, what
are their options to fill their pipelines? In the current economy, should they
emphasize in-house development, licensing, purchasing individual technologies
or product linesor a combination?
Gill: In some ways, their choices are limited. If a $500 million company
were to spend 30% of revenues on R&D, that would be a little more than $150
million. But I recently saw a report that calculated all the R&D costs and
divided them by the number of approved products, and estimated that it now costs
an average of $800 million to develop a product. So even if a company were able
to put $150 million each year behind one product, it would still take a number
of years' worth of R&D to develop just that one product.
Wareham:
It's hard to generalize because every company's pipeline development process
is a bit different. At Beckman Coulter, we've been very successful in using
distribution alliances, where, for example, another company optimizes its chemistry
for use on our automated drug discovery systems, and then we market the whole
package through our own distribution channels. So we're leveraging our capabilities
with those of a smaller company for an overall better outcome.
We've also used sort of a reverse on that, licensing an immune system testing
technology to large vaccine producers for their use in comparative animal studies.
That strategy has enabled us to enter the drug-discovery market.
One thing we've tried to do is to leverage products internally, through what
we call the biomedical testing continuum, where we move technologies from one
market segment to another. So there's another model that companies can use to
create yet another major opportunity.
Mohan: These
are all good options, and most successful companies employ all of them. Technology-intensive
companies need to have in-house development capabilities, not only to develop
things themselves but so that they have the wisdom to acquire correctly.
Companies also need to examine their portfolio of products and fill in the gaps.
And, considering the long development time for products in this regulated industry,
acquisition can be the way to go. That's especially true right now, when companies
have an opportunity to acquire certain things at bargain prices.
Keep in mind though, that it is easy to buy companies. It's much harder to integrate
an acquisition and maximize its value. It takes a special kind of leadership
to develop good in-house capabilities, the wisdom to acquire correctly, and
the ability to assimilate another corporate entity into your company's culture.
Some large companies
put a fair amount of money into venture capital funds and are actually funding
early-stage research. Others put their R&D money into fairly late-stage
products that are ready for manufacturing. Is there a reason for adopting one
strategy over the other?
Riedel: The way that we access early-stage innovation is made up of several
pieces.
First, we do have in-house discovery research, and it is a pretty significant
part of Baxter. Second, we have alliances in place with biotech and technology
companies to commercialize their discovery research and with academic centers
of excellence to access their innovation. And third, we also work with a fund
that places our investments into early-stage companies.
So our efforts are spread across the various ways in which one can access innovation,
including academic centers, biotech companies, a venture fund, and cutting-edge
in-house R&D.
Big Companies,
Small Companies
In certain economic conditions, like we have now, small companies can become
very attractive acquisition targets. In these conditions, do licensing arrangements,
partnerships, and alliances also fall in favor of large companies?
Wareham: That might be more true today than it was a couple of years ago,
when small companies had relatively open access to capital. Today it's a little
more difficult for them to access capital, whether it's venture capital or IPO
capital.
Mohan: Strictly in terms of technology, it is a pet peeve of mine that many large companies focus on in-licensing but rarely out-license their intellectual properties.
Steve, when
you have intellectual properties that you feel Medtronic can't get to, do you
consider spinning them out, or licensing them to other firms?
Oesterle: Yes, but I wouldn't say there's an enormous history of that at
Medtronic. But as this company gets larger and larger, it's obvious we can't
do everything. We have a lot of in-house technology, and there is a significant
opportunity to consider spinning out some of it. I suspect you'll see some of
that in the coming years.
Wareham: We currently have some initiatives in that area, but in the world today you also need some trading cards. Companies need to have properties that they can trade with others to get what they wantparticularly when dealing big company to big company.
In the current
economic conditions, can small entrepreneurial companies make a go of it in
the public market, or is their only available exit strategy to be acquired?
Gill: I'm not sure that one answer fits all. There clearly are companies
that have a decent cash position and will be able to take their own products
sufficiently far toward launch so that, if they have good data, investors will
be willing to put some money into the company. Those companies will have an
opportunity to do it themselves. In these cases, the higher the risk, the greater
the reward.
There are other companies that find it harder to gain access to cash. Those
companies may have an opportunity to address the needs of large companies and
mid-sized companies with limited R&D budgets, by working with them.
The arrangements can also be mixed. For instance, a company might license its
first one or two products to somebody else. Royalties from that agreement would
then put the company on sounder financial footing, so that it might be able
to take its third product to market by itself.
Some small companies
that are just entering the market might be surprised at how much they need to
do. Is that another reason why they open themselves to alliances and partnershipsbecause
there are so many capabilities that they just don't have?
Riedel: I mean this in a very respectful way, but a lot of early-stage biotech
companies have to climb up the learning curve of what it takes to bring a product
to market. Some of them have had to learn the hard way about elements such as
regulatory requirements to prove safety and efficacy, or the resources necessary
to be a sustainable commercial manufacturer and sales organization.
Funding Product
R&D
If all of the big money is in large companies, does that put an extraordinary
burden on those large companies to fund all of industry's R&D, one way or
another?
Gill: Small companies will end up getting their early risk capital on their
own. I don't think the large companies are going to provide seed financing.
I think they will provide development financing for companies that have reasonable
data to demonstrate that their product will work.
Large companies will get the benefit by investing later in the process, when
a start-up company is a less risky investment. But they'll also have to accept
a correspondingly lower rate of return, because if they insist on getting their
historically high returns, they won't be paying the small companies enough to
survive. And if that happens, then in the long run the product development pipeline
will run dry. If investors in small companies cannot get decent returns, they're
going to put their money elsewhere.
Wareham: I
don't think it's ever going to be that extreme. Everything cycles, and there
are all kinds of different arrangements a company can make. Even a small company
with a new technology can get access to venture money today.
Right now, the pendulum has swung in the direction of favoring companies that
have development capabilities within their capital structure. But I don't think
we can conclude that this is a permanent situation.
Oesterle: I'm not sure I view it as a burden; I sort of view it as an opportunity. In the past, start-ups would go much further along before looking for a partnership with a company like Medtronic. But today, we see more and more companies coming in at an earlier stage, when we could develop a strategic alliance, often with a minority investment. That enables us to promote the start-up's R&D while also ensuring that the arrangement is not dilutional. We would also then seek options on the finished project or on the start-up company itself.
Scott R. Ward:
I certainly agree that we don't really perceive this as a burden at all. The
current economic environment creates some opportunities for us to make investments
in companies that are in new technological fields that we may be interested
in, longer term.
How early in the process will big companies be looking? Are they looking
at products that are commercializable in two years, one year, or what?
Gill: The later the product, the more attractive it is. But if you look
at recent transactions as indicative of a trend, the cost of those products
has skyrocketed. Some argue that those costs are not sustainable, but time will
tell.
On the other hand, if you want to pay a lot less, you've got to move earlier
in the development process. If a company has at least Phase II data, that's
a time when it can start to partner.
When you are
deciding whether or not to move ahead with a particular product, does your strategy
vary according to the type of the product, its complexity, or the sector that
it's intended for? How do you sort out the factors that would drive your decision
making in that area?
Wareham: There's no simple answer to this. Companies have to take a lot
of factors into account. Probably the most important pieces of the matrix are
the company's current business, current strength, and market position; the competitive
framework of the market, including growth rates or potential growth rates; and
the maturity of the current technologies. At some point, of course, all of this
has to be assessed against whether the proposed product will fulfill customers'
needs so that somebody is willing to pay for the product. And so those are the
kinds of things that we weigh when we try to decide which projects to fund.
The Product
Development Team
Do you have market research and marketing people involved very early in the
decisions to develop a product line or to invest in a particular kind of research?
Wareham: Absolutely, and that's an art in and of itself. There are only
a few people that are really good at it, that can actually see the steps in
the market development process and how difficult it will be. So that's part
of the art of product development, for sure.
Riedel:
Yes. We do not engage in a full-blown product development project unless we
have input from R&D, clinical, marketing, and regulatory affairs. And we
must also have a really good understanding of the unmet medical needsthe
opportunityand how we as an organization can provide a product that differentiates
itself enough to make a difference relative to existing therapies.
Do you have a fixed team of people that evaluates these needs?
Riedel: No. Like most organizations, we have marketing, development, and
regulatory affairs departments. Typically, the teams that perform such due diligence
are made up of members of those departments. But the membership varies and changes,
depending on the product opportunity.
Mohan: Most
successful and enlightened companies have some model for product development
that is based on this kind of multifunctional approach. It defines the development
and use cycle of a product fairly well, all the way from identifying customers'
needs, through product concept, rational funding decisions, and so on.
Such a model becomes a real competitive advantage, because other requirementssuch
as those from FDA, Wall Street, or whateverall get fitted into the overall
product development decision-making structure.
Norbert, how
do you see your role as chief scientific officer in facilitating the work of
your product development teamsincluding decisions to invest in partnerships
or alliances?
Riedel: I look at Baxter as an organization whose skills are in two areas.
First we have great capabilities in development and commercialization. So, my
investment dollars are more likely to be targeted toward late-stage development
and commercialization, including manufacturing, than toward early-stage discovery.
That emphasis, of course, immediately triggers our strategy to seek alliances
and strategic partnerships to complete and complement our pipeline.
The second area where we have enormous strength is in our core technical competencies,
which enable us to conduct effective product development in pharmaceuticals,
biopharmaceuticals, and devices.
So we combine a focus on investing in alliances for late-stage development and
employing our core technical competencies to create unique opportunities.
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Copyright ©2002 MX



